This is a category with no favourite.
The winner of the SAG award Emily Blunt- A Quiet Place hasn't even been nominated for the Oscar marking the first time this has ever happened.
Perplexing how some things happen right.
Marina de Tavira - Sofía(Roma)
The Mexican actress seems to have made it here only due to the Academy's overwhelming support for Roma.
Her nomination has resulted in snubs to Emily Blunt who in my opinion takes home the prize just for her scene in ' A Quiet Place where she is in labour and cannot make a sound as the monsters are in the house.
Emma Stone - Abigail Masham (The Favourite)
Has won the Academy Award for Lead Actress just 2 years back for La La Land. With the Academy rewarding Mahershala Ali who too won an Oscar two years back it's safe to say that they won't be giving Stone her second Oscar in 3 years. They don't seem to want too many repeat winners in quick succession. Her loss to Weisz at the BAFTA's effectively takes her out of the running to win
Amy Adams- Lynne Cheney (Vice)
She can be known as the modern day Meryl Streep or the male Leonardo DiCaprio. However unlike Leo she hasn't been snubbed repeatedly for what has been the best performance of the year by a mile.
In Vice she plays Lynne Cheney, a powerful real life person and doesn't seem to be forgotten when sharing screen space with the mighty shape shifter in Christian Bale.
Regina King- Sharon Rivers (If Beale Street could talk)
Won the Golden Globe and the Critics Choice Award and seems to be a major contender for the Oscar. Her role as Sharon Rivers lends weight to the lead actress and this is a true supporting performance as at no point her role seems to over power that of the leads.
Based on the snubs it could be possible that the Academy choose to reward If Beale Street could talk by awarding Regina King with the Supporting Actress trophy. Her win and subsequent speech at the Globes did her chances no harm as it was at that time the the voting for the Oscar nominations opened. She could have the support, and she certainly has the capability to win. Her absence from the Screen Actor Guild Awards may prove to be costly.
Rachel Weisz - Sarah Churchill (The Favourite)
A Hollywood veteran and is one name that has consistently featured on the pre cursor award shows. She is the only Actress apart from Regina King to have won in this category in this Awards swing. (Though her win did not require her to beat out King whereas King beat her at the Globes and the Critics Choice Awards)
With her co-star Emma Stone having already taken home an Oscar for Lead Actress just 2 years back and with Stone being young one cam say that the Academy may place Weisz higher than stone when casting their ballots. Her win at the BAFTA completely eliminates co-star stone from the running as it is obvious as to who the voters favour. Her role is strong as she is the link between both Queen Anne and her co star and cousin Margot Robbie and it is a meaty and more dominating role that any of her competitors in this category.
This is King vs Weisz. Adams finally ending her Academy drought seems unlikely.
Will win: Regina King
Should win: Rachel Weisz
Dark Horse: Amy Adams
The winner of the SAG award Emily Blunt- A Quiet Place hasn't even been nominated for the Oscar marking the first time this has ever happened.
Perplexing how some things happen right.
Marina de Tavira - Sofía(Roma)
The Mexican actress seems to have made it here only due to the Academy's overwhelming support for Roma.
Her nomination has resulted in snubs to Emily Blunt who in my opinion takes home the prize just for her scene in ' A Quiet Place where she is in labour and cannot make a sound as the monsters are in the house.
Emma Stone - Abigail Masham (The Favourite)
Has won the Academy Award for Lead Actress just 2 years back for La La Land. With the Academy rewarding Mahershala Ali who too won an Oscar two years back it's safe to say that they won't be giving Stone her second Oscar in 3 years. They don't seem to want too many repeat winners in quick succession. Her loss to Weisz at the BAFTA's effectively takes her out of the running to win
Amy Adams- Lynne Cheney (Vice)
She can be known as the modern day Meryl Streep or the male Leonardo DiCaprio. However unlike Leo she hasn't been snubbed repeatedly for what has been the best performance of the year by a mile.
In Vice she plays Lynne Cheney, a powerful real life person and doesn't seem to be forgotten when sharing screen space with the mighty shape shifter in Christian Bale.
Regina King- Sharon Rivers (If Beale Street could talk)
Won the Golden Globe and the Critics Choice Award and seems to be a major contender for the Oscar. Her role as Sharon Rivers lends weight to the lead actress and this is a true supporting performance as at no point her role seems to over power that of the leads.
Based on the snubs it could be possible that the Academy choose to reward If Beale Street could talk by awarding Regina King with the Supporting Actress trophy. Her win and subsequent speech at the Globes did her chances no harm as it was at that time the the voting for the Oscar nominations opened. She could have the support, and she certainly has the capability to win. Her absence from the Screen Actor Guild Awards may prove to be costly.
Rachel Weisz - Sarah Churchill (The Favourite)
A Hollywood veteran and is one name that has consistently featured on the pre cursor award shows. She is the only Actress apart from Regina King to have won in this category in this Awards swing. (Though her win did not require her to beat out King whereas King beat her at the Globes and the Critics Choice Awards)
With her co-star Emma Stone having already taken home an Oscar for Lead Actress just 2 years back and with Stone being young one cam say that the Academy may place Weisz higher than stone when casting their ballots. Her win at the BAFTA completely eliminates co-star stone from the running as it is obvious as to who the voters favour. Her role is strong as she is the link between both Queen Anne and her co star and cousin Margot Robbie and it is a meaty and more dominating role that any of her competitors in this category.
This is King vs Weisz. Adams finally ending her Academy drought seems unlikely.
Will win: Regina King
Should win: Rachel Weisz
Dark Horse: Amy Adams
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